By the Numbers: MARS EQUESTRIAN Bromont CCI4*-L

With the MARS EQUESTRIAN Bromont CCI Three-Day Event serving as the last CCI4*-L of the North American spring season, the competitors are a mixture of newcomers to the level, experienced horses taking a crack at a Pan American Games qualifier, and combinations re-routing after hiccups at the Land Rover Kentucky Three-Day Event or the Jersey Fresh International Three-Day Event. With an unusually large percentage of seasoned horses here, it’s likely that the winner will be an experienced combination.

THE EVENT

Photo by Leslie Threlkeld.

  • No one has ever broken the 75% mark (25.0 penalties) in dressage in the CCI4*-L at Bromont.
  • With the jumping phases always proving influential at Bromont, recent winners have won the CCI4*-L from as low as eighth place after dressage.
  • In the last four runnings of this division, only two pairs have finished on their dressage score, both in 2016: Ryan Wood and Woodstock Bennett and Kylie Lyman and Sacramento.

DRESSAGE DIVAS

Buck Davidson and Carlevo. Photo by Jenni Autry.

  • Carlevo and Buck Davidson hold the best two-year dressage average at the Advanced/4* levels; they haven’t scored below 70% since 2017. They hold the only two-year average in the field that sits in the sub-30 range.
  • Copper Beach is hot on the heels of his stablemate though, averaging 30.0 over the same time period. He’s scored sub-30 in each of his Advanced tests in 2018/2019 but hasn’t cracked that threshold in his 4* starts.
  • Boyd Martin hit the 20s in two of On Cue‘s first three Advanced starts but has only achieved low thirties in her two 4*-S starts.
  • Lauren Kieffer and D.A. Duras achieved the 75% mark at Little Downham in the Advanced division in 2017, but haven’t quite broken 70% in the horse’s six starts since.
  • Katherine Coleman and Monte Classico have been chipping away at the first phase. Although their two-year average sits at 32.5, they’ve scored in the 20s in their last three consecutive starts.

CROSS COUNTRY MACHINES

Sabrina Glaser and Rembrandt. Photo by Sherry Stewart.

  • Sabrina Glaser and Rembrandt have been quietly gaining experience on the West Coast. In eight career runs at the level, they’ve never had a cross country penalty. Over the last year, they’ve finished within 10 seconds of the optimum time or the fastest time of the day in every single run.
  • Landmark’s Monte Carlo has a reputation for fast rounds at the long format. In six clear career runs at the 4/5*-L levels, he and Lauren Kieffer have finished within five seconds of either optimum time or the fastest time of the day in every single one of them.

SHOW JUMPING POWERHOUSES

Jennie Brannigan and I Bella. Photo by Shelby Allen.

  • I Bella has been lightly competed at the Advanced/4* level, but in three show jumping rounds at the top level, she and Jennie Brannigan have yet to have a rail.
  • D.A. Duras has jumped clean in nine of his last 10 consecutive stadium rounds at the Advanced/4* levels. He and Lauren Kieffer have had only one rail since 2016.
  • Jakobi and Emilee Libby had one rail in the horse’s first Advanced and have since jumped clear in four consecutive Advanced/4* rounds.
  • In nine rounds at Advanced/4* together, Katherine Coleman and Monte Classico have only tipped a rail on two occasions.

PREDICTED WINNER: BUCK DAVIDSON AND COPPER BEACH

Buck Davidson and Copper Beach. Photo by Leslie Threlkeld.

Keep an eye on:
  • Buck Davidson and Carlevo
  • Katherine Coleman and Monte Classico
  • Lauren Kieffer and Landmark’s Monte Carlo
  • Lauren Kieffer and D.A. Duras

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